Gambling Supplies is an important investment opportunity that I’m looking into due to Full-Tilt Poker’s latest scandel. I saw this on casino supplies and decided to follow-up on it. The stock market, according to The Association of Gaming Equipment Manufacturers (AGEM), the Gambling Supplies trade association, has undervalued the value of the industry . On Monday, The Association of Gaming Equipment Manufacturers (AGEM) put out its latest report in which revealed that market has pushed the market down by 7% in the last month.2%. The month of September saw the casino suppliesand decorate your game room industries fall to 105. 18 points, it was the largest one month fall for the AGEM Index, in 2011.
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The question for investors and players alike is how the performance of these companies is going to be impacted by Full-Tilt Poker’s meltdown.
I summarized this article in this video
To make sure I don’t lose the video, I asked for it to be posted on casino supplies.
To go over in a brief, but painful, memory of what happened to Full-Tilt Poker, basically it was a Ponzi scheme where senior management, including such poker legends like Chris “Jesus” Ferguson, raided the company for over $440 million while the company only held $400 million in player deposits. You do not have to be a financial wizard, a clever accountant, or understand any math beyond addition and subtraction to see that these numbers don’t add up. As I write this, player’s—some of whom I know have literally thousands of dollars they thought was safe in their account, as long as they weren’t gambling—are going to recover nothing. If you had a thousand dollars on deposit with Full-Tilt poker, you are going to receive nothing.
All of the parties involved, including the big names in poker as well as management, should go to jail and lose everything because of this. At casino supplies, they have been talking about this for awhile.
The purpose of this essay is to examine how this will impact the Gambling Supplies and the Game Room Products industry. And, in short, the conclusion of this essay is that the Full-Tilt poker meltdown will only help investors who buy into companies that manufacturer Gambling Supplies and Game Room Products because, frankly speaking, I don’t know a rational human who will risk their money by playing online anymore.
A person I met suggested that I look into this. Rumours where rampant for years about what was going on with the money people deposited and won on online gaming. Many analyst who were promoting online Gambling Supplies assumed that the money was being kept on deposit under the care of an escrow account and administered by a in-partial third party. They thought, basically, they could earn interest on the money that the players’ had on deposit and that would be good enough for them. The problem is, and was, is that nobody really had access to the books and they couldn’t do a thorough analysis.
This isn’t correct in a strict sense of the word .
Experience is everything and I always thought it was ridiculous that a twenty-something investment banker with no knowledge of the industry is supposed to be an expert on it. What happened to players’ money has always been a question for players. But, they assumed that the people in charge, the founders and investors, were too smart to fall into this trap (see Chris Ferguson’s much lauded Phd in Computer Science).
There are always winners and losers in any situation, and even though what happened to Full-Title is a disaster for every player, there will still be some companies and industries that come out ahead.
A lot of people who used to play online are no longer playing online anymore and instead are opting for local games. Poker nights are now coming back in vague and they are dropping a lot of cash on the Gambling Supplies and their Game Room Products industries. The best way to gamble is everybody brings cash and you settle up at the end of the night: you don’t have to deal with problems that come with online gambling. As long as the currency has value, you can settle up at the end of the evening: end of story.
I spoke to a psychologist who treats gambling addiction and she said that rational players won’t trust their money with online gaming sites anymore. The most disturbed people gambling therapist treat are the people who don’t care if they win or lose, only if they get a rush, so thinking that they might lose their money if another Full-Tilt Poker happens only makes them excited. The important thing to remember is that these people don’t gamble to win money, but they gamble for the excitement. However, these are the minority.
When things go hay-wire in an industry, I start to follow it; and, Gambling Supplies is a part of that pattern.
According to a very wealthy woman I know, the best time to buy is when everything is falling apart; so maybe online gaming deserves our consideration. I will continue to watch that as well, but I’m curious to see what, if any, rules for these organizations are implemented.
I never liked technology as an investment, which is essentially what the online gambling websites are. I like real assets, a conclusion which is due to my background in bankruptcy. Another reason I don’t trust those companies is that for years it was said that certain programs could be written that could take advantage of certain patterns in the way hands are dealt. For instance, getting a pair of Aces seemed to happen more than it should under a random game. This has been counter-acted with significant investments in software for the online gaming companies. But, generating random numbers is impossible and people will dedicate a significant amount of time to beating the system. I don’t see this problem going away.
If I had to choose between online gambling and Gambling Supplies industry, I’d choose the brick-and-mortar manufacturer over the intellectual-capital intense online environment. But, you never know, which is why I’m keeping an eye on these industries.
Or, you can follow what I do and just invest in index funds and not worry about individual companies. My investments are bet on the future well-being and prosperity of the economy, not on whether I trust a companies’ management to do what I hope they do.
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